{"id":19018,"date":"2024-03-04T13:13:23","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T05:13:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/?p=19018"},"modified":"2024-03-04T13:30:53","modified_gmt":"2024-03-04T05:30:53","slug":"%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%86%85%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0agi%ef%bc%9f%e4%b8%8b%e4%b8%80%e4%bb%a3gemini%e8%83%bd%e6%84%9f%e7%9f%a5%e7%8e%af%e5%a2%83%ef%bc%9fdeepmind-ceo%e5%93%88%e8%90%a8%e6%af%94%e6%96%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/2024\/03\/04\/19018\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u51fa\u73b0AGI\uff1f\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3Gemini\u80fd\u611f\u77e5\u73af\u5883\uff1fDeepMind CEO\u54c8\u8428\u6bd4\u65af\u7545\u8c08AI"},"content":{"rendered":"
\u5bfc\u8bfb\uff1a<\/strong>\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3\u62a5\u9053 \u7f16\u8f91\uff1aPanda \u667a\u80fd\u672c\u8d28\u3001\u5bf9\u9f50\u3001Gemini\u3001\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7bAI\u548c\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u3001AGI\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u5e72\u8d27\u6ee1\u6ee1\u7684\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\uff0cDemis Hassabis\u53ef\u8c13\u300c\u77e5\u65e0\u4e0d\u8a00\u3001\u8a00\u65e0\u4e0d…<\/div>\n

\u667a\u80fd\u672c\u8d28\u3001\u5bf9\u9f50\u3001Gemini\u3001\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7bAI\u548c\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u3001AGI\u2026\u2026\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u5e72\u8d27\u6ee1\u6ee1\u7684\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\uff0cDemis Hassabis\u53ef\u8c13\u300c\u77e5\u65e0\u4e0d\u8a00\u3001\u8a00\u65e0\u4e0d\u7adf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u62e5\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c AGI \u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6211\u4e0d\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u60ca\u8bb6\u3002\u300dGoogle DeepMind \u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u548c CEO Demis Hassabis \u8fd1\u65e5\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u64ad\u5ba2\u8282\u76ee Dwarkesh Podcast \u4e0a\u5982\u662f\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u957f\u8fbe\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u8282\u76ee\u4e2d\uff0cHassabis \u5206\u4eab\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u667a\u80fd\u672c\u8d28\u3001\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u3001\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u548c\u5bf9\u9f50\u3001AGI\u3001\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u7b49\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u5730\u6574\u7406\u4e86\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u9002\u5f53\u7f16\u8f91\u4ee5\u4fbf\u9605\u8bfb\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

01 \u667a\u80fd\u7684\u672c\u8d28<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u60a8\u6709\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u60a8\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u770b\u5f85\u667a\u80fd\u7684\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5f88\u6709\u8da3\u3002\u667a\u80fd\u975e\u5e38\u5bbd\u6cdb\uff0c\u53ef\u666e\u904d\u7528\u4e8e\u5404\u79cd\u7528\u9014\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5927\u8111\u5904\u7406\u6211\u4eec\u5468\u56f4\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u9ad8\u5c42\u7ea7\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\uff0c\u7b97\u6cd5\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5927\u8111\u4e2d\u6709\u505a\u7279\u5b9a\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e0b\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u5219\u4f5c\u4e3a\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u60a8\u600e\u4e48\u770b\u5f85\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73b0\u5728\u7684 LLM\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u5411\u5176\u63d0\u4f9b\u5927\u91cf\u7279\u5b9a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6570\u636e\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5728\u90a3\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u53d8\u5f97\u683c\u5916\u5730\u597d\uff1f\u96be\u9053\u4e0d\u80fd\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u4e0a\u5b9e\u73b0\u666e\u904d\u63d0\u5347\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f53\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u5185\u83b7\u5f97\u63d0\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u5019\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5728\u5176\u5b83\u9886\u57df\u83b7\u5f97\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u7684\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u4e3e\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u5f53\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7f16\u7a0b\u80fd\u529b\u63d0\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u63a8\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e5f\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8fc1\u79fb\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4eba\u8111\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5927\u91cf\u7ecf\u5386\u6216\u7ec3\u4e60\u8c61\u68cb\u6216\u5199\u4f5c\u7b49\u4e8b\u9879\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u64c5\u957f\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u67d0\u79cd\u901a\u7528\u5b66\u4e60\u6280\u672f\u548c\u901a\u7528\u5b66\u4e60\u7cfb\u7edf\u6765\u5b66\u4e60\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u4ee5\u8bed\u8a00\u548c\u7f16\u7a0b\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5728\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u5730\u65b9\u5b58\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u673a\u5236\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u548c\u7f16\u7a0b\u80fd\u529b\u4e00\u8d77\u63d0\u5347\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5206\u6790\u6280\u672f\u8fd8\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u8868\u5f81\u7684\u673a\u5236\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u5f85\u5927\u91cf\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u6211\u6709\u65f6\u5019\u628a\u8fd9\u79f0\u4e3a\u865a\u62df\u8111\u5206\u6790\uff08virtual brain analytics\uff09\u3002\u4ece\u67d0\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u70b9\u50cf\u662f fMRI\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8bb0\u5f55\u771f\u5b9e\u5927\u8111\u4e2d\u5355\u4e2a\u7ec6\u80de\u7684\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5206\u6790\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u600e\u6837\u5c06\u5176\u7c7b\u6bd4\u5230\u4eba\u9020\u5fc3\u667a\u5462\uff1f\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u3002\u6bd4\u5982 Chris Olah \u5c31\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e2a\uff0c\u6211\u5f88\u559c\u6b22\u4ed6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u8ba1\u7b97\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6280\u672f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f15\u5165\u8fc7\u6765\u5206\u6790\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4e5f\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u9f13\u52b1\u6211\u5728\u8ba1\u7b97\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u601d\u8003\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5e94\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6240\u5b66\u6765\u7406\u89e3\u5927\u578b\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u7531\u4e8e\u60a8\u6709\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u60a8\u591a\u534a\u4e86\u89e3\u4e00\u4e9b\u5176\u4ed6 AI \u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4e0d\u592a\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u6709\u5173\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u52a9\u76ca\u5f88\u5927\u3002\u770b\u770b\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5c31\u80fd\u77e5\u9053\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u6211\u5df2\u7ecf\u601d\u8003\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e09\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u4e86\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u8f6e AI \u6d6a\u6f6e\u65e9\u671f\uff0c\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u5f15\u5bfc\u6027\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u4ee5\u53ca\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u7b49\u6280\u672f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7ecf\u5386\u91cd\u653e\uff08experience replay\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d8\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\uff08attention\uff09\u6982\u5ff5\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6210\u679c\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u7075\u611f\u90fd\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u5bf9\u5927\u8111\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u5b83\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u5de5\u7a0b\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u67d0\u79cd\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u4e00\u5bf9\u4e00\u6620\u5c04\uff0c\u800c\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u67d0\u79cd\u6307\u793a\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u7075\u611f\u6216\u8bb8\u662f\u67d0\u79cd\u67b6\u6784\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u7b97\u6cd5\u601d\u60f3\u6216\u8868\u5f81\u601d\u60f3\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u5927\u8111\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u901a\u7528\u667a\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u4eba\u7c7b\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u77e5\u9053\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u671d\u90a3\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u52aa\u529b\u8fdb\u53d6\u76f4\u5230\u67d0\u65f6\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u80fd\u5426\u6210\u529f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u80fd\u8ba9\u4eba\u66f4\u5feb\u5730\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u5982\u4eca\u6210\u529f\u7684\u80cc\u540e\uff0c\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u542f\u8fea\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u7684\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u95f4\u63a5\u7684\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u89c4\u5212\u65b9\u9762\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u5f85\u89e3\u51b3\u3002\u8fd8\u6709\u5927\u8111\u662f\u4ee5\u4f55\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u6784\u5efa\u51fa\u4e86\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\uff1f\u4e3e\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u6211\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u5927\u8111\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8fdb\u884c\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\uff0c\u4f60\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u8fd9\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5fc3\u667a\u6a21\u62df\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4f1a\u95ee\uff1a\u4e3a\u4e86\u6267\u884c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u4ee5\u600e\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u521b\u5efa\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u89c6\u89c9\u7a7a\u95f4\u6a21\u62df\uff1f<\/p>\n

02 LLM \u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1aLLM \u80fd\u5426\u5177\u5907\u8fd9\u79cd\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6811\u641c\u7d22\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff1f\u60a8\u5bf9\u6b64\u600e\u4e48\u770b\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u5730\u63d0\u5347\u5927\u578b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u6210\u4e3a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9884\u6d4b\u5668\u3002\u5728\u6548\u679c\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u6210\u4e3a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u660e\u663e\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f AGI \u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5728\u7814\u7a76 AlphaZero \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u673a\u5236\u5176\u53ef\u4f7f\u7528\u6a21\u578b\u6267\u884c\u660e\u786e\u7684\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u5b9e\u73b0\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u4f1a\u642d\u914d\u67d0\u79cd\u94fe\u5f0f\u601d\u7ef4\u6216\u63a8\u7406\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\u641c\u7d22\u6765\u63a2\u7d22\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u7f3a\u5c11\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u6240\u9700\u7684\u5de8\u91cf\u7b97\u529b\uff0c\u60a8\u4f1a\u600e\u4e48\u83b7\u5f97\uff1f\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6548\u7387\u4f1a\u600e\u4e48\u5f97\u5230\u63d0\u5347\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u4f1a\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u90fd\u5728\u63d0\u5347\uff1b\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u6837\u672c\u9ad8\u6548\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4ee5\u53ca\u590d\u7528\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7ecf\u5386\u91cd\u653e\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u8d8a\u597d\uff0c\u641c\u7d22\u6548\u7387\u5c31\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u4e3e\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0cAlphaGo \u7684\u641c\u7d22\u6548\u7387\u5c31\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4f7f\u7528\u66b4\u529b\u641c\u7d22\u7684\u6df1\u84dd\uff08Deep Blue\uff09\u3002\u6df1\u84dd\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u51b3\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u67e5\u770b\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u6cd5\u3002AlphaGo \u5219\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u5927\u7ea6\u6570\u4e07\u6b21\u5c31\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u4f46\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5927\u5e08\u7ea7\u68cb\u624b\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u9700\u68c0\u67e5\u51e0\u767e\u79cd\u4e0b\u6cd5\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u597d\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u51b3\u7b56\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u660e\u663e\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u66b4\u529b\u641c\u7d22\u7cfb\u7edf\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u68cb\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002AlphaGo \u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u800c\u9876\u7ea7\u4eba\u7c7b\u68cb\u624b\u62e5\u6709\u66f4\u4e30\u5bcc\u3001\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u56f4\u68cb\u6216\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ea\u9700\u5c11\u91cf\u641c\u7d22\u5c31\u80fd\u505a\u51fa\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u4f46\u662f AlphaGo \u80dc\u8fc7\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u51a0\u519b\u3002<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u7684\u6210\u679c\uff0cDeepMind \u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\u51fa\u540d\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u6e38\u620f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9a8c\u8bc1\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f88\u663e\u7136\u5728\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\u7684\u641c\u7d22\u6548\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\u4e5f\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5956\u52b1\u51fd\u6570\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u83b7\u80dc\u8fd8\u662f\u8d62\u53d6\u5206\u6570\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u662f\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6e38\u620f\u5185\u7f6e\u7684\u5956\u52b1\u673a\u5236\u3002\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u8fd9\u5374\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96be\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u5b9a\u4e49\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u51fd\u6570\u3001\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u5956\u52b1\u51fd\u6570\u548c\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff1f<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u6837\u672c\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0e AlphaGo \u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5f97\u5230\u89e3\u7b54\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6709\u4f55\u4e0d\u540c\uff1f\u6bd4\u5982\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u5982\u4f55\u60f3\u51fa\u4e86\u76f8\u5bf9\u8bba\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u5b83\u4eec\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5927\u8111\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6267\u884c\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u6811\u641c\u7d22\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6709\u673a\u5927\u8111\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5927\u8111\u4f1a\u7528\u5230\u76f4\u89c9\u3002\u4eba\u7c7b\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u548c\u7ecf\u5386\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u975e\u5e38\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u975e\u5e38\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u7269\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u9605\u8bfb\u4e00\u4e0b\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u4ed6\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u60f3\u51fa\u90a3\u4e9b\u7406\u8bba\u7684\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u4ed6\u4e60\u60ef\u89c6\u89c9\u5316\u5730\u601d\u8003\u90a3\u4e9b\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u6709\u4e86\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u76f4\u89c9\u5316\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5728\u5f53\u65f6\u663e\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u79bb\u5947\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7cbe\u5999\u4e4b\u5904\u3002\u60f3\u8c61\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u8ba9\u4f60\u62b5\u8fbe\u4f60\u6b63\u5728\u641c\u7d22\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u6811\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u8282\u70b9\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4f60\u5c31\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8282\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1\u641c\u7d22\u5373\u53ef\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u6765\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u641c\u7d22\u91cf\u5c31\u5c11\u591a\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u5f85\u89e3\u51b3\uff1a\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u80fd\u5426\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u4f7f\u7528\u81ea\u6211\u535a\u5f08\u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\u6765\u514b\u670d\u6570\u636e\u74f6\u9888\u95ee\u9898\uff1f\u60a8\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5bf9\u6b64\u5f88\u4e50\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u5bf9\u6b64\u975e\u5e38\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u8fd8\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u548c\u89c6\u9891\u7b49\u6570\u636e\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u4e5f\u5728\u4e00\u76f4\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u66f4\u591a\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u521b\u9020\u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6a21\u62df\u548c\u81ea\u6211\u535a\u5f08\uff0c\u6a21\u62df\u65b9\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\u4f7f\u7528\u975e\u5e38\u4eff\u771f\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u73af\u5883\u6765\u751f\u6210\u63a5\u8fd1\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u800c\u81ea\u6211\u535a\u5f08\u5219\u662f\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u4e92\u76f8\u4ea4\u4e92\u6216\u4ea4\u8c08\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u53d1 AlphaGo \u548c AlphaZero \u65f6\u6548\u679c\u975e\u5e38\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u90a3\u4e48\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u786e\u4fdd\u5408\u6210\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u95e8\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u5b66\u79d1\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u7684\u521d\u7ea7\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u6570\u636e\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u5206\u5e03\u4e2d\u7684\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e8e\u516c\u5e73\u4e0e\u504f\u89c1\u7b49\u8bae\u9898\u6765\u8bf4\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u8981\u5c06\u5176\u79fb\u51fa\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u786e\u4fdd\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u80fd\u591f\u4ee3\u8868\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\u4eba\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u589e\u5927\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7279\u5b9a\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6743\u91cd\u6216\u91cd\u653e\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u53d1\u73b0\u4f60\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u6709\u5982\u6b64\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u751f\u6210\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u586b\u8865\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u73b0\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u5f88\u5173\u6ce8\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5b9e DeepMind \u5f88\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u4e86\u3002\u662f\u5426\u8fd8\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u65e9\u5df2\u7ecf\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5f15\u8d77\u4eba\u4eec\u91cd\u89c6\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u65b0\u65e7\u601d\u60f3\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u4e0e\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5927\u578b\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u3001LLM\u3001\u6811\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u54ea\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u50ac\u751f\u51fa AGI\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7eaf AlphaZero \u5f0f\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6ca1\u7406\u7531\u4e0d\u6210\u529f\u3002Google DeepMind \u548c\u793e\u533a\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6b63\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u5047\u8bbe\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u5148\u9a8c\u77e5\u8bc6\u3001\u6ca1\u6709\u6570\u636e\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ece\u5934\u5f00\u59cb\u6784\u5efa\u6240\u6709\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u548c\u7b97\u6cd5\u5728\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u77e5\u8bc6\u65f6\u4e5f\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8bdd\u867d\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u8bf4\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u5feb\u5b9e\u73b0 AGI \u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u76ee\u524d\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u7684\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u6536\u96c6\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u6709 Transformer \u7b49\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u6d88\u5316\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7528\u4f5c\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u5148\u9a8c\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u5176\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u6784\u5efa\u5e76\u6267\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u542f\u52a8 AGI \u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u6ca1\u7406\u7531\u4e0d\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u3002\u6211\u731c\u60f3\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u7ec8\u7684 AGI \u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u578b\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u6574\u4f53\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u672c\u8eab\u5e76\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a AGI\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u989d\u5916\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u641c\u7d22\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

03 \u6269\u5c55\u4e0e\u5bf9\u9f50<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u73b0\u5728\u6709\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u5047\u8bbe\uff08scaling hypothesis\uff09\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u731c\u60f3\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6269\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u6570\u636e\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u667a\u80fd\u7ec8\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u60a8\u8ba4\u540c\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9700\u8981\u5b9e\u9a8c\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u4eba\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u65e9\u5f00\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u4eba\uff09\u90fd\u5f88\u60ca\u8bb6\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6210\u5c31\u3002\u770b\u770b\u73b0\u5982\u4eca\u7684\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u6548\u679c\u597d\u5f97\u7b80\u76f4\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\uff01\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u6d8c\u73b0\u51fa\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6027\u8d28\u76f8\u5f53\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\uff1b\u5728\u6211\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u6709\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u548c\u62bd\u8c61\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u8981\u662f\u56de\u5230\u4e94\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u4f1a\u8bf4\u8981\u505a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u7b97\u6cd5\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u66f4\u7c7b\u4f3c\u5927\u8111\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u8981\u660e\u786e\u7684\u3001\u7b80\u6d01\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f9d\u7136\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u52a0\u7406\u89e3\u5927\u8111\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53ef\u4ee5\u9690\u5f0f\u5730\u5b66\u4e60\u5b83\u4eec\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u7684\u6709\u8da3\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u57fa\u7840\u77e5\u8bc6\uff08grounding\/\u5b9a\u57fa\uff09\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5b83\u4eec\u5e76\u672a\u4f53\u9a8c\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u51fa\u73b0\u4e4b\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u3002\u53ea\u662f\u9760\u8bed\u8a00\u5c31\u80fd\u6784\u5efa\u8d77\u5982\u6b64\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7740\u5b9e\u8ba9\u4eba\u60ca\u8bb6\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6211\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7 RLHF \u53cd\u9988\u7cfb\u7edf\u83b7\u5f97\u4e00\u4e9b\u73b0\u5b9e\u57fa\u7840\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u53cd\u9988\u8005\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u7acb\u8db3\u4e8e\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u4e5f\u662f\u7acb\u8db3\u4e8e\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd9\u80fd\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u83b7\u5f97\u4e00\u4e9b\u73b0\u5b9e\u57fa\u77d7\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8bed\u8a00\u4e2d\u5c31\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u57fa\u7840\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u6d1e\u6089\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u80fd\u6ca1\u8003\u8651\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u8bed\u8a00\u5b66\u5bb6\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u8fd9\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u5c1a\u672a\u89e6\u53ca\u5176\u8868\u9762\u3002\u770b\u770b\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u7545\u60f3\u672a\u6765\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f60\u8bf4\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u5f53\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u6269\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u6b63\u5728\u8fd9\u4e48\u505a\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u6700\u540e\u4f1a\u8d8b\u8fd1\u4e00\u6761\u6e10\u8fd1\u7ebf\u8fd8\u662f\u649e\u4e0a\u94c1\u5899\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u4f1a\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u76f4\u63a5\u53bb\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002\u6ca1\u4eba\u80fd\u60f3\u51fa\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u4f46\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u52a0\u500d\u6295\u8d44\u521b\u65b0\u548c\u53d1\u660e\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8c37\u6b4c\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u3001DeepMind \u548c\u8c37\u6b4c\u5927\u8111\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u5730\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u6210\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u4e4b\u9053\uff0c<\/p>\n

\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u5728\u6269\u5c55\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u534a\u5219\u662f\u5728\u7814\u53d1\u672a\u6765\u7684\u67b6\u6784\u548c\u7b97\u6cd5\u5b83\u4eec\u6216\u8bb8\u662f\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u4e4b\u540e\u6240\u9700\u7684\u3002\u6211\u5927\u6982\u731c\u60f3\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u8fd9\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u53d1\u529b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u5e78\u8fd0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u786e\u5b9e\u80fd\u505a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u518d\u591a\u804a\u804a\u5b9a\u57fa\uff08grounding\uff09\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u6709\u4e24\u4ef6\u4e8b\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5b9a\u57fa\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u968f\u7740\u6a21\u578b\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u806a\u660e\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u751f\u6210\u8db3\u591f\u4eba\u7c7b\u6807\u7b7e\u7684\u9886\u57df\u5de5\u4f5c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u591f\u806a\u660e\u3002\u800c\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00 token \u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u62a4\u8f68\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u6a21\u578b\u8ba9\u5176\u50cf\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e00\u6837\u8c08\u8bdd\uff0c\u50cf\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e00\u6837\u601d\u8003\u3002\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u989d\u5916\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u662f\u4ee5\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u5f62\u5f0f\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5462\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u77e5\u9053\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u76ee\u6807\u4f46\u65e0\u6cd5\u8ffd\u8e2a\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e24\u8005\u7ec4\u5408\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u5b9a\u57fa\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4ec0\u4e48\u95ee\u9898\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5982\u679c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6ca1\u6709\u9002\u5f53\u5730\u5b9a\u57fa\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c31\u65e0\u6cd5\u9002\u5f53\u5730\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u5b9a\u57fa\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u624d\u80fd\u5728\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u771f\u6b63\u5b9e\u73b0\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u968f\u7740 Gemini \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u591a\u6a21\u6001\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6587\u672c\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u5916\u5904\u7406\u89c6\u9891\u3001\u97f3\u9891\u548c\u89c6\u89c9\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u878d\u5408\u5230\u4e00\u8d77\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u5b9a\u57fa\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7269\u7406\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bf9\u9f50\u6bd4\u4eba\u7c7b\u66f4\u806a\u660e\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u600e\u4e48\u505a\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u548c Shane\uff08\u6ce8\uff1aShane Legg\uff0cDeepMind \u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u73b0\u62c5\u4efb\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d AGI \u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff09\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u521b\u7acb DeepMind \u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u8ba1\u5212\u7740\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\u30022010 \u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u4eba\u7814\u7a76 AI\uff0c\u66f4\u522b\u8bf4 AGI \u4e86\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u90a3\u65f6\u5c31\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u601d\u60f3\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u521b\u9020\u51fa\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u4f1a\u5177\u6709\u8ba9\u4eba\u96be\u4ee5\u7f6e\u4fe1\u7684\u53d8\u9769\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec 20 \u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u5728\u601d\u8003\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u4f1a\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u6b63\u9762\u548c\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u540e\u679c\u5c31\u662f\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 AlphaFold\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u6570\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u53d1\u73b0\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u786e\u4fdd\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u53ef\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u548c\u53ef\u63a7\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f97\u5230\u7ecf\u8fc7\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e25\u683c\u8bc4\u4f30\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u597d\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u57fa\u51c6\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u5426\u6b3a\u9a97\u4e86\u4f60\u3001\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u6cc4\u6f0f\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4ee3\u7801\u7b49\u4e0d\u826f\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u8fd8\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u63d0\u51fa\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528 AI \u6765\u8f85\u52a9\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u5e94\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u7a84\u7684 AI\uff08narrow AI\uff09\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0d\u5177\u5907\u901a\u7528\u5b66\u4e60\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e13\u95e8\u4e3a\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u9886\u57df\u4e13\u95e8\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\uff1b\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4eba\u7c7b\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u66f4\u901a\u7528\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u662f\u521b\u9020\u5f3a\u5316\u578b\u6c99\u76d2\u6216\u6a21\u62df\u73af\u5883\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u7ecf\u8fc7\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a AI \u56f0\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5916\u90e8\u653b\u51fb\u8005\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fdb\u5165\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6c99\u76d2\u4e2d\u81ea\u7531\u5730\u505a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e86\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u4e5f\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u8ba9\u4eba\u7c7b\u80fd\u591f\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u548c\u8868\u5f81\u3002<\/p>\n

04 \u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf\u548c\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a AGI \u4f1a\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\u51fa\u73b0\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u611f\u89c9\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u672a\u77e5\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u806a\u660e\u624d\u667a\u548c\u52aa\u529b\u603b\u662f\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u60ca\u559c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u8981\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec 2010 \u5e74\u521b\u7acb DeepMind \u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u9700\u8981 20 \u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u6309\u9884\u671f\u5411\u76ee\u6807\u9760\u8fd1\u3002\u8fd9\u5f88\u4e86\u4e0d\u8d77\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u901a\u5e38\u7684 20 \u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u603b\u662f\u8fd8\u8981\u53e6\u5916 20 \u5e74\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u62e5\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c AGI \u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6211\u4e0d\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u60ca\u8bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4e86 AGI\uff0c\u60a8\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7528\u5417\uff1f\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u5176\u7528\u6765\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u901f AI \u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u8981\u770b\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u51fa\u4ec0\u4e48\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u6765\u51b3\u5b9a\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u751f\u7684 AGI \u7cfb\u7edf\u6216\u751a\u81f3 AGI \u539f\u578b\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u5176\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

05 Gemini \u7684\u8bad\u7ec3<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u76ee\u524d Gemini \u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u74f6\u9888\uff1f\u65e2\u7136\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u6cd5\u6548\u679c\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u628a\u5b83\u589e\u5927\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6709\u5b9e\u8df5\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7a76\u7adf\u80fd\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7b97\u529b\u5462\uff1f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u9047\u5230\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u96be\u9898\u3002\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e9b\u96be\u9898\u4ee5\u53ca\u5982\u4f55\u5b9e\u73b0\u8de8\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8bad\u7ec3\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u8fd8\u6709\u786c\u4ef6\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u96be\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u6784\u5efa\u548c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684 TPU \u7b49\u786c\u4ef6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7528 GPU\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u603b\u5982\u9b54\u6cd5\u822c\u6709\u6548\u3002\u6269\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u65f6\u4e5f\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u6269\u5c55\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u79cd\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u3002\u4e0d\u662f\u6bcf\u4e00\u79cd\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u80fd\u91cd\u590d\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u914d\u65b9\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8c03\u6574\u914d\u65b9\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u641e\u827a\u672f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u7684\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5728 Gemini \u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u60a8\u89c9\u5f97\u6700\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u7684\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u5f97\u8bf4\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u975e\u5e38\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u80fd\u5728\u90a3\u79cd\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u8bad\u7ec3\u5e76\u4ece\u4e00\u79cd\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u53bb\u7814\u7a76\u5b83\uff0c\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5176\u5b83\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u6548\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4 DeepMind \u7684 Gemini \u9ad8\u3002\u60a8\u600e\u4e48\u770b\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u60c5\u51b5\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0cGemini \u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7b97\u529b\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5c31\u6bd4\u4f20\u95fb\u4e2d GPT-4 \u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7b97\u529b\u7a0d\u591a\u4e00\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e 2010 \u5e74\u521a\u521b\u7acb DeepMind \u7684\u60a8\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u7684 AI \u8fdb\u5c55\u4e2d\u54ea\u4e00\u70b9\u6700\u8ba9\u60a8\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u4f60\u4e5f\u91c7\u8bbf\u8fc7\u6211\u7684\u540c\u4e8b Shane\u3002\u4ed6\u603b\u662f\u4ece\u8ba1\u7b97\u66f2\u7ebf\u65b9\u9762\u8fdb\u884c\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e38\u5e38\u5c06 AI \u4e0e\u5927\u8111\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u6216\u7a81\u89e6\u3002\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u5230\u5927\u8111\u4e2d\u795e\u7ecf\u7a81\u89e6\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u548c\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u91cf\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u66f4\u6839\u672c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u91cd\u5fc3\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u901a\u7528\u6027\u548c\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u8fd9\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u4efb\u4f55\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u3001\u641c\u7d22\u548c\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u4e09\u79cd\u53ef\u4ee5\u6269\u5c55\u5e76\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u975e\u5e38\u901a\u7528\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u65e0\u9700\u5927\u91cf\u4eba\u5de5\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u5148\u9a8c\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e MIT \u7b49\u5728\u5f53\u65f6\u6784\u5efa\u7684 AI\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u4eba\u5de5\u7f16\u7801\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8bc1\u660e\u8fd9\u79cd\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u65e9\u671f\u770b\u51fa\u4e86\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u6e38\u620f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9a8c\u8bc1\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u7ed3\u679c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u9519\u3002\u6700\u540e\u4e5f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6210\u529f\u3002AlphaGo \u7b49\u6210\u529f\u7ed9\u5176\u4ed6\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5e26\u53bb\u4e86\u542f\u53d1\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u6211\u4eec\u8c37\u6b4c\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u548c\u8c37\u6b4c\u5927\u8111\u7684\u540c\u4e8b\u53d1\u660e\u7684 Transformer\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5904\u7406\u6d77\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u4eca\u6210\u679c\u7684\u57fa\u77d7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4ee5\u8d2f\u4e4b\u7684\u4f20\u627f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u7136\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u6d4b\u51fa\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u524d\u8fdb\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u65b9\u5411\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

06 \u6cbb\u7406\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7b AI<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u60a8\u600e\u4e48\u770b\u5f85\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff1f\u5b83\u4ecd\u7136\u53d7\u79c1\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u63a7\u5236\u5417\uff1f\u5177\u4f53\u5e94\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u6cbb\u7406\u5b83\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5927\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5927\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5fc5\u9700\u6765\u81ea\u6c11\u95f4\u793e\u4f1a\u3001\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8fd1\u671f\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7b49\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u5176\u5b83\u4e00\u4e9b\u90e8\u5206\u88ab\u5524\u9192\u4e86\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u7cfb\u7edf\u6b63\u5728\u5230\u6765\u5e76\u4e14\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e92\u52a8\u3002\u8fd9\u5f88\u4e0d\u9519\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3a\u826f\u597d\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\u6253\u5f00\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u5927\u95e8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u4e3e\u529e\u7684 AI Safety Summit\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u8fdb\u884c\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff0c\u8981\u8ba9\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u4e00\u8d77\u6765\u51b3\u5b9a\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u505a\u4ec0\u4e48\u3001\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u600e\u6837\u4f7f\u7528\u5b83\u4eec\u3001\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0d\u88ab\u7528\u4e8e\u4ec0\u4e48\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u73b0\u5728\u7684 AI \u7cfb\u7edf\u5df2\u7ecf\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u4eec\u4f9d\u7136\u8fd8\u5904\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u8d77\u70b9\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u7528\u4f8b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4f7f\u7528\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7cfb\u7edf\u6765\u4e3a\u4f60\u505a\u603b\u7ed3\u3001\u5b8c\u6210\u4e00\u4e9b\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u5199\u4f5c\u4efb\u52a1\u3001\u8fdb\u884c\u6837\u677f\u5f0f\u5199\u4f5c\uff1b\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53ea\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u66f4\u4e00\u822c\u5316\u7684\u7528\u4f8b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u65b0\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u89c4\u5212\u548c\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u4e2a\u6027\u5316\u3001\u8bb0\u5fc6\u3001\u60c5\u5883\u8bb0\u5fc6\u7b49\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u957f\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u7a97\u53e3\u662f\u4e0d\u591f\u7684\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u8bb0\u4f4f 100 \u8f6e\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e4b\u524d\u6211\u4eec\u8bf4\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u6210\u719f\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u65b0\u7684\u7528\u4f8b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u627e\u5230\u66f4\u597d\u66f4\u4e30\u5bcc\u6750\u6599\uff08\u4e66\u3001\u7535\u5f71\u3001\u97f3\u4e50\u7b49\uff09\u7684\u65b0\u63a8\u8350\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u90a3\u6837\u6211\u5c31\u4f1a\u6bcf\u5929\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u7c7b\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u53ea\u662f\u89e6\u53ca\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b AI \u52a9\u7406\u7684\u8868\u9762\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u672a\u6765\u5b83\u4eec\u80fd\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u548c\u5de5\u4f5c\u505a\u66f4\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u7528\u5b83\u4eec\u505a\u79d1\u7814\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8db3\u591f\u53ef\u9760\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u672a\u6765\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e8b\u5b9e\u6027\u548c\u5b9a\u57fa\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b AI \u7cfb\u7edf\u5c31\u80fd\u53d8\u6210\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u52a9\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u8bf4\u5230\u8bb0\u5fc6\uff0c\u60a8\u5728 2007 \u5e74\u6709\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u8c08\u5230\u8bb0\u5fc6\u548c\u60f3\u8c61\uff08imagination\uff09\u6709\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u8bf4\u76ee\u524d\u7684 AI \u5c31\u53ea\u662f\u8bb0\u4f4f\u4e86\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u3002\u60a8\u5bf9\u6b64\u600e\u4e48\u770b\uff1f\u53ea\u9760\u8bb0\u5fc6\u5c31\u8db3\u591f\u4e86\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u5728\u6709\u9650\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8bb0\u4f4f\u4e00\u5207\u5c31\u591f\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u6837\u65e0\u6cd5\u6cdb\u5316\u5230\u539f\u6709\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u4e4b\u5916\u3002\u4f46\u5f88\u660e\u663e Gemini \u548c GPT-4 \u7b49\u6a21\u578b\u786e\u5b9e\u80fd\u591f\u6cdb\u5316\u5230\u65b0\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u6211\u7684\u90a3\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u6211\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u8bb0\u5fc6\uff08\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u8bb0\u5fc6\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u91cd\u5efa\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4e0d\u662f\u78c1\u5e26\u5f0f\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5927\u8111\u662f\u628a\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u719f\u6089\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u7ec4\u5408\u5230\u4e00\u8d77\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u6211\u601d\u8003\u60f3\u8c61\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u662f\u8fd9\u4e48\u56de\u4e8b\u3002\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u8fd9\u65f6\u5019\u6211\u4eec\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u662f\u8bed\u4e49\u7ec4\u4ef6\uff08semantic component\uff09\u4f60\u7684\u5927\u8111\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u7ec4\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u5e76\u4e14\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f9d\u7136\u7f3a\u5c11\u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\u5373\u628a\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u90e8\u5206\u62ff\u51fa\u6765\u7ec4\u5408\u5230\u4e00\u8d77\u6765\u6a21\u62df\u65b0\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e2e\u52a9\u7528\u6765\u6267\u884c\u89c4\u5212\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u60f3\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n

07 \u5b89\u5168\u3001\u5f00\u6e90\u548c\u6743\u91cd\u5b89\u5168<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u4f60\u4eec\u6709\u8ba1\u5212\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u4e24\u5bb6\u4e3b\u8981\u7684 AI \u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e00\u6837\u4ece\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u653e\u51fa Gemini \u7684\u6846\u67b6\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5185\u90e8\u5df2\u7ecf\u505a\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u68c0\u67e5\u548c\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u53d1\u5e03\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u3002\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u535a\u5ba2\u6587\u7ae0\u548c\u6280\u672f\u8bba\u6587\u53d1\u51fa\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u4fdd\u62a4\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u4e0d\u88ab\u6076\u610f\u76d7\u7528\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u8fd9\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4e8c\u662f\u5f00\u6e90\u3002\u5b89\u5168\u975e\u5e38\u5173\u952e\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u6211\u4eec Google DeepMind \u975e\u5e38\u5e78\u8fd0\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8c37\u6b4c\u7684\u9632\u706b\u5899\u548c\u4e91\u7684\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u9632\u62a4\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec DeepMind \u8fd8\u6709\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u4fdd\u62a4\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4ee3\u7801\u5e93\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u53cc\u91cd\u4fdd\u62a4\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u63d0\u5347\u548c\u6539\u8fdb\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4f7f\u7528\u5f3a\u5316\u6c99\u76d2\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5728\u8003\u8651\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6216\u786c\u4ef6\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u6240\u6709\u7684\u524d\u6cbf\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u90fd\u5e94\u8be5\u8fd9\u4e48\u505a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f00\u6e90\u4e5f\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5f00\u6e90\u548c\u5f00\u653e\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u5927\u529b\u652f\u6301\u8005\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u6570\u5343\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u5305\u62ec AlphaFold\u3001Transformer \u548c AlphaGo\u3002\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u963b\u6b62\u6076\u610f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u4e2a\u4eba\u6216\u6d41\u6c13\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f00\u6e90\u7cfb\u7edf\u53bb\u5b9e\u73b0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6709\u5bb3\u76ee\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6211\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4e5f\u6ca1\u80fd\u4ece\u652f\u6301\u5f00\u6e90\u4e00\u5207\u7684\u4eba\u90a3\u91cc\u542c\u5230\u8ba9\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5176\u4e2d\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u6709\u4e9b\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4f46\u5f88\u663e\u7136\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2a\u5f88\u590d\u6742\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5176\u5b83\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e13\u653b\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 Anthropic \u5728\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u4f60\u4eec\u6709\u4e86\u6700\u524d\u6cbf\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f60\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u505a\u524d\u6cbf\u7814\u7a76\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u521b\u4e86 RLHF \u7b49\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u7528\u4e8e\u63d0\u5347\u6027\u80fd\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u7528\u4e8e\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f88\u591a\u81ea\u6211\u535a\u5f08\u60f3\u6cd5\u4e5f\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u7528\u4e8e\u81ea\u52a8\u6d4b\u8bd5\u65b0\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u90e8\u5206\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u901a\u7528\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u9002\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u975e\u5e38\u5e7f\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e9b\u81ea\u52a8\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6280\u672f\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e4b\u524d\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u548c\u6e38\u620f\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u62df\u771f\u7684\u865a\u62df\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u5f88\u957f\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5386\u53f2\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5f88\u5e78\u8fd0\u8c37\u6b4c\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u4e13\u5bb6\u548c\u786c\u4ef6\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5e08\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u3002<\/p>\n

08 \u591a\u6a21\u6001\u548c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e Gemini \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e0e\u5b83\u4eec\u9ed8\u8ba4\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u804a\u5929\u3002\u968f\u7740\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u548c\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u52a0\u5165\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u6539\u53d8\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u5728\u7406\u89e3\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5904\u4e8e\u8d77\u6b65\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u4e0e\u5176\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u65b9\u5f0f\u5c06\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u6211\u60f3\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u7248\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u7406\u89e3\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u901a\u8fc7\u76f8\u673a\u6216\u624b\u673a\u3002\u7136\u540e\u6211\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u7406\u89e3\u65b9\u9762\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u987a\u7545\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u89c6\u9891\u3001\u58f0\u97f3\u751a\u81f3\u89e6\u78b0\u3002\u5982\u679c\u518d\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4f7f\u7528\u4f20\u611f\u5668\u7684\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u53d8\u5f97\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u3002\u6211\u60f3\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u5bf9\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u5b66\u79d1\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1aIlya \u66fe\u5728\u64ad\u5ba2\u4e0a\u8ddf\u6211\u8bf4\u8fc7 OpenAI \u653e\u5f03\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\u5728\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u591f\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u90a3\u65f6\u5019\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5bf9\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u800c\u8a00\u4f9d\u7136\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u74f6\u9888\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 Gato \u548c RT-2 Transformer \u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u6765\u90fd\u5f88\u559c\u6b22\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u9886\u57df\u4e5f\u6709\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5176\u5b9e\u559c\u6b22\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff1a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u5c11\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4f1a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u7528\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u7684\u8bfe\u9898\u5305\u62ec\u91c7\u6837\u6548\u7387\u548c\u6570\u636e\u6548\u7387\u3001\u4ece\u6a21\u62df\u73af\u5883\u8fc1\u79fb\u5230\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u8fc1\u79fb\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a Ilya \u8bf4\u5f97\u5bf9\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u5f88\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\u5c31\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6570\u636e\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u60f3\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u770b\u5230\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fc1\u79fb\u5230\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u9886\u57df\u3001\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u666e\u9002\u7684\u9886\u57df\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06 Gato \u8fd9\u6837\u7684 token \u5f53\u4f5c\u662f\u4efb\u610f\u7c7b\u578b\u7684 token \u8fdb\u884c\u5904\u7406\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b token \u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u52a8\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u8bcd\u3001\u56fe\u5757\u3001\u50cf\u7d20\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u6211\u5fc3\u4e2d\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u3002\u4f46\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6bd4\u7b80\u5355\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u6587\u672c\u8bed\u8a00\u7cfb\u7edf\u66f4\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u804a\u8fc1\u79fb\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u4e5f\u8c08\u5230\u4e86\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u6001\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u5176\u5b83\u6a21\u6001\u83b7\u76ca\u7684\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u5982\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u66f4\u52a0\u7406\u89e3\u89c6\u9891\uff0c\u5176\u8bed\u8a00\u80fd\u529b\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u540e\u4f1a\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u66f4\u52a0\u901a\u7528\u3001\u66f4\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1aDeepMind \u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u6765\u52a0\u901f\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u6784\u5efa\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u5462\uff1f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u7b49\u5230\u4e00\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u540e\u8ba9 AGI \u6765\u505a\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6211\u60f3\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053 AGI \u5c06\u5728\u4f55\u65f6\u5230\u6765\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u6211\u4eec\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e5f\u5e38\u5e38\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5fc5\u7b49\u5230 AGI\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u505a\u51fa\u4e9b\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u6210\u679c\u6765\u9020\u798f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u6211\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e5f\u5bf9 AI \u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u533b\u7597\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u5145\u6ee1\u70ed\u60c5\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u591a\u7bc7 Nature \u8bba\u6587\u5173\u6ce8\u4e86\u591a\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u62e5\u6709\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u7528\u6237\u7684\u8c37\u6b4c\u7684\u4e00\u5206\u5b50\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u8363\u5e78\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u6211\u4eec\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u5feb\u901f\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ed9\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u4eba\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u6539\u5584\u3001\u4e30\u5bcc\u548c\u52a9\u529b\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece AGI \u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u68c0\u9a8c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u6307\u671b\u95ed\u95e8\u9020 AI \u5c31\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u6837\u53ea\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5185\u90e8\u6307\u6807\u504f\u79bb\u4eba\u4eec\u771f\u6b63\u4f1a\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u4e8b\u7269\u3002\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u5e94\u7528\u80fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u5927\u91cf\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u53cd\u9988\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u5426\u5728\u8fdb\u6b65\u6216\u8005\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u6570\u636e\u6216\u6837\u672c\u6548\u7387\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u96be\u9898\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u8fd9\u6837\u3002\u8fd9\u80fd\u4e0d\u65ad\u63a8\u52a8\u548c\u5f15\u5bfc\u4f60\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u5b83\u4eec\u8d70\u5728\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5728 AGI \u8bde\u751f\u4e4b\u524d\u5f88\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e5f\u80fd\u4ece\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n

09 Google DeepMind \u5185\u90e8<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1aGemini \u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u8c37\u6b4c\u5927\u8111\u548c DeepMind \u7b49\u4e0d\u540c\u673a\u6784\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u8fd9\u5176\u4e2d\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u54ea\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff1f\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u54ea\u4e9b\u534f\u540c\u6548\u5e94\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u662f\u5f88\u68d2\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u6311\u6218\u662f\u6709\u7684\uff0c\u548c\u4efb\u4f55\u5927\u578b\u6574\u5408\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5404\u81ea\u90fd\u53d1\u660e\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u91cd\u8981\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4ece\u6df1\u5ea6\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u5230 Transformer\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c31\u662f\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c47\u96c6\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u52a0\u7d27\u5bc6\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\u6211\u4eec\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e38\u5e38\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4e4b\u524d\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5177\u4f53\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5219\u662f\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u5ea6\u548c\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n

Gemini \u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u9996\u4e2a\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e Gemini \u8fd9\u4e2a\u540d\u5b57\u5c31\u6697\u542b\u4e86\u5b6a\u751f\u5144\u5f1f\u59d0\u59b9\u7684\u610f\u601d\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u6548\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\u4e86\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u628a\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u60f3\u6cd5\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u5f00\u53d1\u5de5\u4f5c\u6c47\u96c6\u5230\u4e00\u8d77\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u5c31\u5904\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u5f00\u53d1\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u524d\u6cbf\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u662f\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u60a8\u548c Shane \u521b\u7acb DeepMind \u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u4f60\u4eec\u62c5\u5fe7 AI \u7684\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a AGI \u7684\u5230\u6765\u6709\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u60a8\u611f\u89c9\u6765\u81ea\u8c37\u6b4c\u5927\u8111\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4e5f\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u770b\u6cd5\u5417\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u6587\u5316\u5dee\u5f02\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u6ca1\u6709\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5728 2014 \u5e74\u4e0e\u8c37\u6b4c\u643a\u624b\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8c37\u6b4c\u548c Alphabet \u6574\u4f53\uff08\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u8c37\u6b4c\u5927\u8111\u548c DeepMind\uff09\u90fd\u4ee5\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u8ba4\u771f\u5bf9\u5f85\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5ea7\u53f3\u94ed\u5c31\u662f\u5927\u80c6\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8981\u8d1f\u8d77\u8d23\u4efb\u3002\u6211\u663e\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6280\u672f\u4e50\u89c2\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6280\u672f\u4fdd\u6301\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u6211\u4eec\u5171\u540c\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u5177\u6709\u53d8\u9769\u6027\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u53d1\u660e\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n

Dwarkesh Patel\uff1a\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u30022010 \u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u5f53\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u8fd8\u89c9\u5f97 AGI \u5f88\u8352\u8c2c\u65f6\uff0c\u60a8\u5c31\u5728\u601d\u8003\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec8\u6781\u76ee\u6807\u4e86\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u968f\u7740\u8fd9\u7c7b\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6162\u6162\u8d77\u98de\uff0c\u60a8\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u60f3\u7684\u5462\uff1f\u60a8\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u60a8\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u9884\u60f3\u5230\u8fc7\uff1f<\/p>\n

Demis Hassabis\uff1a\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u786e\u5b9e\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u6211\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u9884\u60f3\u5230\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u89d2\u5ea6\u3002\u4f46\u5f88\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u9884\u6599\u5230\u4e86\u516c\u4f17\u4f1a\u5728\u5982\u6b64\u65e9\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u53c2\u4e0e\u8fdb\u6765\u3002\u50cf\u662f ChatGPT \u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e94\u7528\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u8fd8\u6709\u6240\u6b20\u7f3a\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u6d53\u70c8\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u53bb\u4f7f\u7528\u5b83\u4eec\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u633a\u8ba9\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u5916\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u52a0\u4e13\u4e1a\u5316\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 AlphaFold \u548c AlphaGo \u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u4e9b\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u5728\u516c\u4f17\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u4e3b\u7ebf\u53d1\u5c55\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u51e0\u5e74\u540e\u516c\u4f17\u4f1a\u5173\u6ce8\u5230\u5b83\u4eec\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u5019\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u6709\u4e86\u66f4\u52a0\u666e\u904d\u9002\u7528\u7684\u52a9\u7406\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u521b\u9020\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u548c\u73b0\u5728\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u73af\u5883\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u60c5\u51b5\u53ef\u80fd\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4f1a\u66f4\u6df7\u4e71\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f1a\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u98ce\u9669\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u597d\u50cf\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u5931\u53bb\u7406\u667a\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u552f\u4e00\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u5730\u3001\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u8651\u5730\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u5730\u5bf9\u5f85\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u8bf4\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u4f46\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u5bf9 AI \u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8ff7\u5931\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u5feb\u901f\u88ad\u6765\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u70ed\u6f6e\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.dwarkeshpatel.com\/p\/demis-hassabis<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/dwarkesh_sp\/status\/1762872471479529522<\/p>\n

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\u5bfc\u8bfb\uff1a\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3\u62a5\u9053 \u7f16\u8f91\uff1aPanda \u667a\u80fd\u672c\u8d28\u3001\u5bf9\u9f50\u3001Gemini\u3001\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7bAI\u548c\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u3001AGI\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u5e72\u8d27\u6ee1\u6ee1\u7684 […]<\/p>\n

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