{"id":23358,"date":"2024-12-06T12:40:48","date_gmt":"2024-12-06T04:40:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/?p=23358"},"modified":"2024-12-06T12:40:48","modified_gmt":"2024-12-06T04:40:48","slug":"%e5%85%ab%e5%88%86%e9%92%9f%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-15-%e5%a4%a9%ef%bc%9a%e8%b0%b7%e6%ad%8c-gencast-ai-%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e7%99%bb%e5%9c%ba%ef%bc%8c%e6%a0%91%e7%ab%8b%e5%a4%a9%e6%b0%94%e9%a2%84%e6%8a%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/2024\/12\/06\/23358\/","title":{"rendered":"\u516b\u5206\u949f\u9884\u6d4b 15 \u5929\uff1a\u8c37\u6b4c GenCast AI \u6a21\u578b\u767b\u573a\uff0c\u6811\u7acb\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u65b0\u6807\u6746"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\u8c37\u6b4c\u63a8\u51fa\u5168\u65b0 AI \u6c14\u8c61\u6a21\u578b GenCast\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u524d 15 \u5929\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u5feb\u901f\u3001\u66f4\u7cbe\u51c6\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u671f\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08ECMWF\uff09\u7684 ENS \u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/div>\n
\n
\n

<\/p>\n

12 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u8c37\u6b4c DeepMind \u56e2\u961f\u6628\u65e5\uff0812 \u6708 4 \u65e5\uff09\u53d1\u5e03\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u5168\u65b0 AI \u6c14\u8c61\u6a21\u578b GenCast\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u524d 15 \u5929\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u5feb\u901f\u3001\u66f4\u7cbe\u51c6\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u671f\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08ECMWF\uff09\u7684 ENS \u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9879\u76ee\u80cc\u666f<\/h3>\n

\u5929\u6c14\u5f71\u54cd\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u4eba\uff0c\u5851\u9020\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

IT\u4e4b\u5bb6\u6ce8\uff1a\u968f\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u66f4\u591a\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u9884\u62a5\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5929\u6c14\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b8c\u7f8e\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u51e0\u5929\u540e\u7684\u9884\u62a5\u5c24\u5176\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u6c14\u8c61\u673a\u6784\u4f7f\u7528\u6982\u7387\u96c6\u5408\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5373\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u60c5\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u96c6\u5408\u9884\u62a5\u6bd4\u4f9d\u8d56\u5355\u4e00\u9884\u62a5\u66f4\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5929\u548c\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u72b6\u51b5\u4ee5\u53ca\u6bcf\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

GenCast \u6a21\u578b<\/h3>\n

\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u578b\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ec5\u63d0\u4f9b\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u5355\u4e00\u6700\u4f73\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u800c GenCast \u9884\u6d4b\u96c6\u5408\u5305\u542b 50 \u4e2a\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4b\u4ee3\u8868\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u8f68\u8ff9\u3002<\/p>\n

GenCast \u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6269\u6563\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u751f\u6210\u5f0f AI \u6a21\u578b\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u56fe\u50cf\u3001\u89c6\u9891\u548c\u97f3\u4e50\u751f\u6210\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cGenCast \u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5b83\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u5730\u7403\u7684\u7403\u9762\u51e0\u4f55\u5f62\u72b6\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u72b6\u6001\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8f93\u5165\u540e\uff0c\u5b66\u4e60\u51c6\u786e\u751f\u6210\u672a\u6765\u5929\u6c14\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

GenCast \u4f7f\u7528 ECMWF ERA5 \u6863\u6848\u4e2d\u56db\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6c14\u8c61\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u5305\u62ec\u6e29\u5ea6\u3001\u98ce\u901f\u3001\u6c14\u538b\u7b49\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u76f4\u63a5\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u5168\u7403\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u9ad8\u8fbe 0.25\u00b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728 Google Cloud TPU v5 \u4e0a\uff0cGenCast \u53ea\u9700 8 \u5206\u949f\u5373\u53ef\u751f\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a 15 \u5929\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u96c6\u5408\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4b\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e76\u884c\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u4f20\u7edf\u7269\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

GenCast \u6027\u80fd\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u5e94\u7528\uff1a<\/h3>\n

\u4f7f\u7528 2018 \u5e74\u524d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c2019 \u5e74\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff0cGenCast \u5728 1320 \u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u63d0\u524d\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u8d85\u8fc7 ENS \u7684 97.2%\uff0c\u5728\u63d0\u524d 36 \u5c0f\u65f6\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u66f4\u662f\u9ad8\u8fbe 99.8%\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916 GenCast \u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u7aef\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u4f4e\u6e29\u548c\u5f3a\u98ce\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u6301\u7eed\u4f18\u4e8e ENS\uff0c\u5e76\u80fd\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u53f0\u98ce \/ \u98d3\u98ce\u7684\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5bf9\u53f0\u98ce\u201c\u6d77\u8d1d\u601d\u201d\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003<\/p>\n

    \n
  • GenCast predicts weather and the risks of extreme conditions with state-of-the-art accuracy<\/li>\n
  • Probabilistic weather forecasting with machine learning<\/li>\n
  • <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u81ea\uff1a51CTO<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

    <\/div>\n

    <\/g><\/svg><\/i> \"Loading\"<\/p>\n

    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u8c37\u6b4c\u63a8\u51fa\u5168\u65b0 AI \u6c14\u8c61\u6a21\u578b GenCast\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u524d 15 \u5929\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u5feb\u901f\u3001\u66f4\u7cbe\u51c6\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\u8d85\u8d8a […]<\/p>\n

    <\/div>\n

    <\/g><\/svg><\/i> \"Loading\"<\/p>\n

    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":23360,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,20,80],"tags":[1465,907],"class_list":["post-23358","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-23","category-20","category-80","tag-ai-","tag-907"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23358","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23358"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23358\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23366,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23358\/revisions\/23366"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23358"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23358"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23358"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}