{"id":23932,"date":"2025-01-06T10:12:10","date_gmt":"2025-01-06T02:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/?p=23932"},"modified":"2025-01-06T10:12:10","modified_gmt":"2025-01-06T02:12:10","slug":"%e5%a5%a5%e7%89%b9%e6%9b%bc%e6%83%8a%e5%91%bc%e5%a5%87%e7%82%b9%e4%b8%b4%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8195%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e9%a5%ad%e7%a2%97%e5%b0%86%e8%a2%abai%e6%8a%a2%e8%b5%b0%ef%bc%8c2028%e5%b9%b4%e7%99%be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aif.amtbbs.org\/index.php\/2025\/01\/06\/23932\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5965\u7279\u66fc\u60ca\u547c\u5947\u70b9\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0195%\u4eba\u7c7b\u996d\u7897\u5c06\u88abAI\u62a2\u8d70\uff0c2028\u5e74\u767e\u4e07AI\u4e0a\u5c97"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\u5947\u70b9\u5c06\u81f3\uff1f\u5965\u7279\u66fc\u518d\u6b21\u91ca\u653e\u300c\u516d\u5b57\u300d\u795e\u79d8\u4fe1\u53f7\uff01\u8c37\u6b4c\u6587\u6863\u4e4b\u7236\u3001\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u535a\u58eb\u7eb7\u7eb7\u9884\u6d4b\uff0cAGI\u964d\u4e34\u90a3\u5929\uff0c95%\u4eba\u7c7b\u5de5\u4f5c\u6216\u88abAI\u53d6\u4ee3\u3002<\/div>\n
\n
\n

\u4e00\u89c9\u9192\u6765\uff0c\u5947\u70b9\u53c8\u8fdb\u4e86\u4e00\u6b65\uff1f\uff01<\/p>\n

\u6628\u5929\uff0cOpenAI\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\u5b89\u5168\u7814\u7a76\u5458Stephen McAleer\u7a81\u7136\u53d1\u51fa\u4e00\u756a\u611f\u6168\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u6709\u70b9\u6000\u5ff5\u4ece\u524d\u90a3\u6bb5\u505aAI\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5982\u4f55\u521b\u9020\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\uff0c\u5965\u7279\u66fc\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u610f\u5473\u6df1\u957f\u7684\u300c\u516d\u5b57\u7bb4\u8a00\u300d\uff1anear the singularity; unclear which side\u2014\u2014\u5947\u70b9\u4e34\u8fd1\uff1b\u4e0d\u77e5\u8eab\u5904\u4f55\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u662f\u60f3\u8868\u8fbe\u4e24\u5c42\u610f\u601d\uff1a<\/p>\n

1. \u6a21\u62df\u5047\u8bf4<\/p>\n

2. \u6211\u4eec\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u77e5\u9053AI\u771f\u6b63\u8d77\u98de\u7684\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u4ed6\u53c8\u75af\u72c2\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u4e00\u756a\uff0c\u5e76\u671f\u671b\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u80fd\u5f15\u7533\u51fa\u5927\u5bb6\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u524d\u4e00\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u63a5\u8fde\u53d1\u51fa\u8010\u4eba\u5bfb\u5473\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u8ba9\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u4e0d\u7981\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u5947\u70b9\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u8fd1\u5728\u54ab\u5c3a\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u8bc4\u8bba\u533a\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u88ab\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684AGI\u5927\u731c\u60f3\u548c\u6050\u614c\u51b2\u7206\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u82e5AGI\/ASI\u771f\u6b63\u964d\u4e34\u90a3\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u300c\u8c37\u6b4c\u6587\u6863\u300d\u4e4b\u7236Steve Newman\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u957f\u6587\u4e2d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u300c\u5c4a\u65f6\uff0cAI\u5c06\u4f1a\u53d6\u4ee395%\u4eba\u7c7b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5305\u62ec\u672a\u6765\u65b0\u521b\u9020\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

Apollo Research\u8054\u521bMarius Hobbhahn\u5219\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u5217\u51fa\u4e862024\u5e74-2030\u5e74\u6240\u6709AGI\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u300c2027\u5e74\uff0cAI\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u53d6\u4ee3AGI\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u9876\u7ea7AI\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff1b<\/p>\n

2028\u5e74\uff0cAI\u516c\u53f8\u5c06\u67091\u4e07-100\u4e07\u4e2a\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u7684AI\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u6240\u6709\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u8bc6\u578b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u90fd\u88abAI\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u4e0eNewman\u89c2\u70b9\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u662f\uff0cHobbhahn\u8ba4\u4e3a2024\u5e7495%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u90fd\u80fd\u88abAI\u5b8c\u5168\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u8282\u70b9\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5728\u4e862029\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

AGI\u964d\u4e34\uff0c\u8d8595%\u5de5\u4f5c\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3<\/h3>\n

Steve Newman\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u4ed6\u5bf9AGI\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u53ca\u5176AI\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u90a3\u4e48\uff0cAGI\u7a76\u7adf\u6307\u4ee3\u7684\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u523b\uff1fNewman\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n

AI\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u8d8595%\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ee5\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53d6\u4ee3\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u672a\u6765\u65b0\u521b\u9020\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5047\u8bbe\u7684AI\u53d8\u9769\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u90fd\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8282\u70b9\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u300cAGI\u300d\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u5f00\u59cb\u663e\u8457\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u300c\u611f\u53d7\u5230AGI\u300d\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff1a<\/p>\n

1 AI\u7cfb\u7edf\u80fd\u4e3b\u52a8\u9002\u5e94\u5b8c\u6210\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6240\u9700\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u5e76\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u5b8c\u6574\u800c\u975e\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n

2 \u4e00\u65e6AI\u80fd\u591f\u5b8c\u6210\u5927\u591a\u6570\u77e5\u8bc6\u578b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u9ad8\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u7269\u7406\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u5c06\u5728\u51e0\u5e74\u5185\u968f\u4e4b\u800c\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n

3 \u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u53d8\u9769\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d85\u589e\u957f\u5230AI\u63a5\u7ba1\u4e16\u754c\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

4 \u4e16\u754c\u53d8\u9769\u573a\u666f\u9700\u8981\u8fd9\u79cd\u6c34\u5e73\u7684AI\uff08\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u4e13\u7528AI\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u6539\u53d8\u4e16\u754c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

5 \u5728\u8fbe\u5230AGI\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u300c\u9012\u5f52\u81ea\u6211\u6539\u8fdb\u300d\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u63a8\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

6 AGI\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5177\u5907\u5fc5\u8981\u80fd\u529b\uff08\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6548\u7387\uff09\u7684AI\u88ab\u53d1\u660e\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u5168\u9762\u90e8\u7f72\u7684\u65f6\u523b\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u5173\u4e8eAI\u5982\u4f55\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u4ea7\u751f\u53d8\u9769\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6709\u6765\u81ea\u591a\u65b9\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0cAI\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u2014\u2014\u63a8\u52a8\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u9886\u57df\u5feb\u901f\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5b8c\u6210\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u6210\u672c\u6bd4\u4eba\u7c7b\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u5747GDP\u5927\u7ea6\u6bcf40\u5e74\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u9ad8\u7ea7AI\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7fGDP\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u5185\u81f3\u5c11\u7ffb\u4e00\u500d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u8d85\u589e\u957f\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u300c\u8d85\u589e\u957f\u300d\u5c06\u4f7f\u4eba\u5747GDP\u589e\u52a01000\u500d\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6bcf\u5929\u97602\u7f8e\u5143\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e74\u6536\u516573\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0cAI\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u707e\u96be\u6027\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u52a8\u6bc1\u706d\u6027\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u51fa\u9ad8\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff1b\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u83b7\u5f97\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u751a\u81f3\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u63a7\u5236\u6743\uff1b\u751a\u81f3\uff0cAI\u53ef\u80fd\u5931\u53bb\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6467\u6bc1\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd8\u6709\u4eba\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0cAI\u53ef\u80fd\u6dd8\u6c70\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9886\u57df\u4f1a\u8fd9\u6837\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u7ec8\u7ed3\u8d44\u6e90\u7a00\u7f3a\uff0c\u8ba9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u80fd\u8fc7\u4e0a\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\uff08\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u9009\u62e9\u516c\u5e73\u5206\u914d\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6210\u679c\uff09\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u4ec5\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u79d1\u5e7b\u4e2d\u7684\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6cbb\u6108\u8870\u8001\u3001\u592a\u7a7a\u6b96\u6c11\u3001\u661f\u9645\u65c5\u884c\u3001\u7eb3\u7c73\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u8bbe\u60f3\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u300c\u5947\u70b9\u300d\uff0c\u5728\u5947\u70b9\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u5feb\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n

Steve Newman\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0cAGI\u771f\u6b63\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u60f3\u51e0\u4e4e\u540c\u65f6\u53d8\u6210\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u65f6\u523b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u300d\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u80af\u5b9a\u53d1\u751f\u300d<\/h4>\n

\u9700\u8981\u6f84\u6e05\u7684\u662f\uff0cNewman\u5e76\u975e\u5728\u8bf4\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u9ad8\u7ea7AI\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u90fd\u4f1a\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u7a81\u7834\u9010\u6e10\u53d8\u96be\uff0c\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u300c\u5947\u70b9\u300d\u4e5f\u5c31\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u300c\u957f\u751f\u4e0d\u8001\u300d\u53ef\u80fd\u6839\u672c\u5c31\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u518d\u8bf4\u4e86\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u559c\u6b22\u4e0e\u4ed6\u4eba\u4e92\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e5f\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u771f\u7684\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\u53d8\u5f97\u6ca1\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u63d0\u5230\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u540c\u65f6\u53d1\u751f\u300d\u65f6\uff0cSteve Newman\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff0cAI\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e5f\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5236\u9020\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6bc1\u706d\u6027\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u3001\u63a5\u7ba1\u4e16\u754c\u6216\u5feb\u901f\u6b96\u6c11\u592a\u7a7a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8c08\u8bba\u300c\u901a\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u300d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d85\u589e\u957f\u5728\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e89\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u8fd8\u6709\u592a\u7a7a\u6b96\u6c11\u3001\u8d85\u81f4\u547d\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u7a00\u7f3a\u7684\u7ec8\u7ed3\u3001AI\u63a5\u7ba1\u4e16\u754c\u7b49\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u666f\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a\u300cAGI \u5b8c\u6210\u300d\u60c5\u666f\uff1a\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d85\u589e\u957f\u9700\u8981\u7684AI\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5e7f\u5ea6\u548c\u6df1\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

Newman\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u53ea\u8981AI\u80fd\u591f\u5b8c\u6210\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u8db3\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u5168\u90e8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4e0eAI\u80fd\u529b\u65e0\u5173\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5bfc\u81f4\u5b83\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8fd9\u4e9b\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u76f8\u540c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684AI\u80fd\u529b\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u9608\u503c\u6548\u5e94<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708Dean Ball\u5173\u4e8e\u300c\u9608\u503c\u6548\u5e94\u300d\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

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Dean Ball\u6700\u8fd1\u64b0\u6587\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u9608\u503c\u6548\u5e94\uff1a\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u5728\u521d\u671f\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8fc5\u901f\u666e\u53ca\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u9608\u503c\u88ab\u7a81\u7834\u540e\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u7387\u624d\u4f1a\u8fc5\u901f\u6500\u5347\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u624b\u673a\u8d77\u521d\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7b28\u91cd\u4e14\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u6ede\u9500\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u6765\u5374\u53d8\u5f97\u65e0\u5904\u4e0d\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ec6\u8282 \u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u5b9e\u73b0AGI\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8be5\u600e\u4e48\u505a\uff1f<\/h4>\n

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Apollo Research\u8054\u521bMarius Hobbhahn\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0cAGI\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7279\u70b9\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\uff1a<\/p>\n

– \u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u3001\u9884\u671f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u9884\u7b97\u4ee5\u53ca\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u660e\u786e\u5047\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n

– \u660e\u786e\u7684\u591a\u5c42\u6b21\u9632\u5fa1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u53bb\u9664\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u3001\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u53e0\u52a0\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

– \u8ba1\u5212\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff0c\u5f88\u591aAI\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u5ba3\u4f20\u548c\u5b9e\u9645\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u58f0\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e86\u5b89\u5168\u6027\u613f\u610f\u4ed8\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u900f\u660e\u63a8\u7406\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u989d\u5916\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u5fe0\u5b9e\u4e14\u4eba\u7c7b\u53ef\u8bfb\u7684CoT\u8303\u5f0f<\/h4>\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u81f3\u5c11\u5e94\u8be5\uff1a<\/p>\n

1. \u5171\u540c\u8ba4\u540c\u5c06\u6b64\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u8003\u8651\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6b64\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u6613\u7406\u89e3\u7684CoT\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e76\u613f\u610f\u627f\u53d7\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6027\u80fd\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u54ea\u6015\u662f\u666e\u901a\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u6210\u672c\u4f1a\u589e\u52a02\u500d\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u6210\u672c\u589e\u52a0\u52305\u500d<\/p>\n

2. \u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7cbe\u529b\u6295\u5165\u5230\u7814\u7a76\u6613\u4e8e\u7406\u89e3\u4e14\u5fe0\u5b9e\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff08CoT\uff09\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u6784\u5efa\u4e00\u5957\u8bc4\u4f30\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d4b\u8bd5\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u5426\u5fe0\u5b9e\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u63a2\u7d22\u76f4\u63a5\u4f18\u5316\u53ef\u8bfb\u6027\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u54ea\u4e9b\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u9690\u85cf\u6389\u975e\u9884\u671f\u63a8\u7406\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

3. \u300c\u4ece\u67b6\u6784\u4e2d\u79fb\u9664\u53ef\u89c1CoT\u300d\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u5e94\u8be5\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982Meta\u7684COCONUT<\/p>\n

\u5047\u8bbe\u53ef\u8bfb\u6027\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u989d\u5916\u6210\u672c\u5e76\u4e0d\u592a\u9ad8\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e0d\u52302\u500d\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u73b0\u5728\u5173\u4e8e\u300c\u79fb\u9664CoT\u300d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65e0\u5f02\u4e8e\u81ea\u6bc1\u957f\u57ce\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u5b58\u5728\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u50cf\u5728o1\u548co3\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u9ad8\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\uff08high compute RL\uff09\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e0d\u53ef\u8bfb\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a21\u578b\u81ea\u5df1\u53d1\u5c55\u51fa\u4eba\u7c7b\u96be\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u89c2\u5ff5\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u53d1\u751f\u8f6c\u53d8\uff1a<\/p>\n

1. \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\u5c3d\u5feb\u5206\u4eab\u6b64\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u300c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u6027\u80fd\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\u5176\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u300d\u8981\u6bd4\u300c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u6027\u80fd\u4e00\u822c\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u7406\u89e3\u5176\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u300d\u53ef\u6015\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

2. \u8f6c\u53d8\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u6cbb\u7406\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6295\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u7cbe\u529b\u53bb\u89e3\u7801\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7528CoT\u76d1\u63a7\u6a21\u578b<\/h4>\n

\u5982\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u751f\u6210\u4eba\u7c7b\u53ef\u7406\u89e3\u7684CoT\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9632\u5fa1\u624b\u6bb5\u5c31\u662f\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u76d1\u63a7\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6781\u5177\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\u4f46\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7406\u60f3\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u51e0\u53f0\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u76d1\u63a7\u8bbe\u5907\u6765\u5206\u6790\u6a21\u578b\u8f93\u51fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u68c0\u6d4b\u5404\u79cd\u901a\u7528\u7684\u6545\u969c\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u4e0d\u826f\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u53ef\u8ffd\u8e2a\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u7c7b\u578b\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \u5404\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u9634\u8c0b\uff08scheming\uff09\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u5426\u9690\u85cf\u4e86\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u8bd5\u56fe\u9003\u907f\u76d1\u7ba1\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u7528\u6237\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u7b49\uff1b<\/li>\n
  2. \u5404\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6743\u529b\u8ffd\u6c42\uff08power-seeking\uff09\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u5426\u8bd5\u56fe\u83b7\u53d6\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u51cf\u5c11\u8bbf\u95ee\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ee5\u67d0\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u8bf4\u670d\u4ed6\u4eba\u7b49\uff1b<\/li>\n
  3. \u5f3a\u70c8\u4e14\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5bfc\u5411\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u4e2d\u90fd\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8ffd\u6c42\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1b<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    \u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u8f83\u5c0f\u4f46\u8fd0\u884c\u66f4\u5feb\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u300c\u4ec5\u9ed1\u7bb1\u76d1\u63a7\u5668\u300d\uff08balck-box-only monitors\uff09\uff0c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7528Gemini-flash\u6765\u76d1\u63a7Gemini\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u767d\u76d2\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\u300d\uff08white-box probes\uff09\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc7\u8bad\u7ec3\u4ee5\u68c0\u6d4b\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7ebf\u6027\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\u6216SAE\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

    \u6700\u597d\u65e2\u80fd\u76d1\u63a7\u884c\u52a8\u672c\u8eab\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5de5\u5177\u8c03\u7528\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u76d1\u63a7\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u6a21\u578b\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u4f7f\u7528\u9ed1\u7bb1\u76d1\u63a7\u5668\u6765\u9632\u6b62\u6a21\u578b\u8d8a\u72f1\uff08jailbreaks\uff09\uff0c\u7b97\u662f\u6709\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff1b\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u7ebf\u6027\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\u6781\u5177\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\uff08\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u5411\u91cf\u4e58\u79ef\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u589e\u52a0\u989d\u5916\u5f00\u9500\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e76\u884c\u8fd0\u884c\u4e0a\u4e07\u7684\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u770b\u4f3c\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u4f46\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u7814\u7a76\u5982\u4f55\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u6709\u6548\u7684\u76d1\u63a7\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u76d1\u63a7\u5728\u6982\u5ff5\u7406\u89e3\u4e0a\u770b\u4f3c\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8fed\u4ee3\u548c\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6765\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u8bc4\u4f30\u63a2\u6d4b\u5668\uff0c\u6821\u51c6\u9608\u503c\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u6bcf\u4e2aAI\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u90fd\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u6765\u4e13\u95e8\u6784\u5efa\u76d1\u63a7\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u6a21\u578b\u6309\u9884\u671f\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u8fd0\u884c\u66f4\u9ad8\u6548\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u603b\u7684\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u76d1\u63a7\u8bbe\u5907\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u9632\u6b62\u6a21\u578b\u751f\u6210\u4f24\u5bb3\u6027\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u5730\u4e86\u89e3\u5bf9\u9f50\uff08alignment\uff09\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u63a7\u5236\u6a21\u578b<\/h4>\n

    \u6700\u574f\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u80fd\u770b\u6e05\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9700\u8981\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5ea6\u5730\u63d0\u9ad8\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u63aa\u65bd\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n

    1. \u667a\u80fd\u4f53\uff08agents\uff09\uff1a\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5c0f\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\u7cfb\u7edf\u6216\u5728\u8f83\u5c0f\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u5e94\u8be5\u5c3d\u5feb\u5c06\u63a7\u5236\u6280\u672f\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u5c3d\u65e9\u79ef\u7d2f\u5b9e\u8df5\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff1b<\/p>\n

    2. \u73b0\u5b9e\u6027\uff08realism\uff09\uff1a\u5728\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8f85\u52a9\u7814\u7a76\u7b49\uff1b<\/p>\n

    \"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

    3. \u84dd\u961f\u4e0e\u7ea2\u961f\u7684\u89c4\u5219\uff1a\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u53d8\u4f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ea2\u961f\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbf\u95ee\u84dd\u961f\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u9488\u5bf9\u84dd\u961f\u8fdb\u884c\u8bad\u7ec3\u7b49\uff0c\u5bf9\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u5e94\u8be5\u66f4\u300c\u5408\u7406\u300d\u4e14\u300c\u7cbe\u786e\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

    4. \u653e\u5bbd\u5047\u8bbe\uff08relaxed asummptions\uff09\uff1a\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u57fa\u4e8e\u6a21\u578b\u59cb\u7ec8\u8179\u9ed1\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4fdd\u5b88\uff1b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9a\u4e49\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u754c\u9650\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u7ea6\u675f\uff0c\u4f7f\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u73b0\u5927\u4f53\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9634\u8c0b\uff08scheming\uff09<\/h4>\n

    \u5728\u52a0\u901f\u7814\u53d1\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u52a0\u6df1\u5bf9\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u56fe\u8c0b\u4e0d\u8f68\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff1a<\/p>\n

    1. \u68c0\u6d4b\u5de5\u5177\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u6027\u80fd\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u68c0\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u9ed1\u7bb1\u8bc4\u4f30\u548c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u767d\u7bb1\u6280\u672f\uff1b<\/p>\n

    2. \u56fe\u8c0b\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff1a\u5e94\u8be5\u6df1\u5165\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u8ffd\u6c42\u67d0\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u5982\u4f55\u5b66\u4e60\u975e\u77ed\u89c6\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u4f55\u65f6\u613f\u610f\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u503e\u5411\u4ed8\u51fa\u884c\u52a8\uff1b<\/p>\n

    3. \u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u7684\u503e\u5411\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\u9891\u7387\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5206\u67901\u4ebf\u4e2a\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u56de\u590d\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f4e\u6295\u5165\u3001\u9ad8\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u8bbf\u95ee\u5927\u91cf\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

    4. \u9690\u85cf\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\uff1a\u5206\u6790\u54ea\u4e9b\u8bad\u7ec3\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u6216\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u90a3\u4e9b\u96be\u4ee5\u68c0\u6d4b\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u6bcf\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u56fe\u8c0b\u4e0d\u8f68\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c31\u5bf9\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u60e9\u7f5a\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d1f\u9762\u884c\u4e3a\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u6a21\u578b\u9690\u85cf\u9634\u8c0b\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u9488\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u51b5\u4f5c\u51fa\u5224\u65ad\u548c\u5e73\u8861\uff1b<\/p>\n

    5. \u51c6\u5907\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u65e0\u89c6\u3001\u91cd\u65b0\u8bad\u7ec3\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5b8c\u5168\u4e22\u5f03\u6a21\u578b\u7b49\u4e0d\u540c\u7b56\u7565\uff1b<\/p>\n

    6. \u66f4\u591a\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u89c4\u907f\u76d1\u7ba1\u3001\u5e72\u6270\u8bad\u7ec3\u7b49\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u8bc4\u4f30<\/h4>\n

    \u8bc4\u4f30\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u300c\u6a21\u578b\u56fe\u8c0b\u300d\u8bc1\u636e\u6536\u96c6\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u5176\u4ed6\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8bc4\u4ef7\u300c\u76d1\u63a7\u300d\u6216\u300c\u63a7\u5236\u300d\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

    \"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/p>\n

    \u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5927\u4f53\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u8db3\uff1a<\/p>\n

    1. \u80fd\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a\u5e94\u8be5\u7ee7\u7eed\u6784\u5efa\u66f4\u591a\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u53d1\u3001\u7b56\u5212\u3001\u6838\u751f\u5316\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u548c\u8bf4\u670d\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u80fd\u529b\uff1b<\/p>\n

    2. \u8bf1\u5bfc\uff08Elicitation\uff09\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u8bf1\u5bfc\u4ee5\u4ea7\u751f\u6700\u5927\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\u80fd\u529b\uff1f<\/p>\n

    3. \u9884\u6d4b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u90a3\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u73b0\u4ecd\u7136\u4e3a0\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\uff0c\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u7a81\u7834\uff1f\u6216\u8bb8\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8bc4\u4f30\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1b<\/p>\n

    4. \u5bf9\u9f50\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7814\u7a76\u90fd\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u80fd\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u300c\u5bf9\u9f50\/\u503e\u5411\u8bc4\u4f30\u300d\uff08alignment\/propensity\uff09\u4e5f\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u52a0\u901f\u6784\u5efa\u5bf9\u6297\u6027\u5bf9\u9f50\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8bbe\u7f6e\u5404\u79cd\u975e\u77ed\u89c6\u504f\u597d\u9677\u9631\u7b49\uff0c\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u300c\u5fc3\u7406\u6863\u6848\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u9ed8\u8ba4\u503e\u5411\uff1b<\/p>\n

    5. \u6f14\u793a\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u6216\u516c\u53f8\u5185\u90e8\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u7528\u4e00\u7bc7\u4e25\u8c28\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u6765\u4ed4\u7ec6\u8003\u8651\u6240\u6709\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u4f20\u9012\u6f14\u793a\u7ed9\u666e\u901a\u7528\u6237\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u77ed\u671f\u5bf9\u9f50\u7b56\u7565<\/h4>\n

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    \u63a8\u7406\u900f\u660e\u5ea6<\/h4>\n

    \u5728\u6700\u597d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5185\u90e8\u8ba1\u5212\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u900f\u660e\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u660e\u786e\u5173\u4e8e\u5b89\u5168\u9884\u7b97\u3001\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9690\u542b\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u660e\u786e\u7684\u7ea2\u7ebf\u7b49\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u5e94\u8be5\u7ecf\u5e38\u4e0e\u5916\u90e8\u4e13\u5bb6\u6c9f\u901a\u5177\u4f53\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u6765\u81ea\u72ec\u7acb\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u6216\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5b89\u5168\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b7e\u8ba2\u4fdd\u5bc6\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4ece\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u5206\u4eab\u8ba1\u5212\u4e2d\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u66f4\u5927\u7684AI\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5e94\u8be5\u80fd\u591f\u7406\u89e3\u4ed6\u4eec\u300c\u5e94\u8be5\u6216\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u300d\u671f\u671b\u8fd9\u9879\u6280\u672f\u662f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u81ea\uff1a51CTO<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

    <\/div>\n

    <\/g><\/svg><\/i> \"Loading\"<\/p>\n

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    \u5947\u70b9\u5c06\u81f3\uff1f\u5965\u7279\u66fc\u518d\u6b21\u91ca\u653e\u300c\u516d\u5b57\u300d\u795e\u79d8\u4fe1\u53f7\uff01\u8c37\u6b4c\u6587\u6863\u4e4b\u7236\u3001\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u535a\u58eb\u7eb7\u7eb7\u9884\u6d4b\uff0cAGI\u964d\u4e34\u90a3\u5929\uff0c95%\u4eba\u7c7b\u5de5\u4f5c\u6216 […]<\/p>\n

    <\/div>\n

    <\/g><\/svg><\/i> \"Loading\"<\/p>\n

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